Can Hamas be ＂completely destroyed＂ by Israel’s resolute refusal to cease fire？ Look at the world

A humanitarian crisis seems inevitable.

Three days after the "disconnection" in the Gaza Strip, a spokesman for the office of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on the 30th that Israel "resolutely refused" the ceasefire. This also means that the brutal ground war in Gaza will escalate, and the Israeli "second stage war" will inevitably continue to advance.

Just two days ago, Russian media reported on 28th that Moussa Abu Marzook, a member of the Political Bureau of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas), who was visiting Moscow, said that Hamas was willing to release the detained civilians when conditions permitted, but no progress had been made in the release negotiations. Marzook also said that Hamas is willing to cease fire and implement the UN General Assembly resolutions, but will not negotiate directly with Israel. On the same day, Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Ashtiyah also said that at present, achieving a ceasefire in the Gaza, providing assistance to the region and restoring communications in Gaza are the primary goals of the Palestinian government.

However, Ashtiyah stressed that the Palestinian government refused to accept the proposal of the United Nations to administer the Gaza Strip, and there was no partial solution to the problems in the Gaza Strip or the West Bank.

The emergency special session of the United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution on the 27th, calling on the parties to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to immediately implement a lasting and sustained humanitarian truce, thus contributing to the cessation of hostilities. On the same day, Israel expressed its firm rejection of the UN ceasefire resolution, and the Israeli army continued to carry out air strikes and ground strikes on the Gaza Strip.

In this regard, Israel Defense Forces spokesman Hagari said that this is Hamas’s "psychological warfare".

Therefore, despite the attitude of the United Nations and Hamas’s willingness to cease fire, Israel has made a statement of "resolutely rejecting" the ceasefire. Because "a ceasefire is what the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) wants". A spokesman for the office of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu also said that the Israeli army does not plan to stay in the Gaza for a long time and will withdraw after "ensuring that Hamas is defeated".

However, it is not easy to "defeat" Hamas. If Israel enters a large-scale ground attack, it will be dragged into urban warfare, street warfare and tunnel warfare. Hamas must have prepared ambush and booby traps for this. At that time, powerful weapons may not be the only support for victory. Even if victory is achieved, it will be a disastrous victory.

Especially in the complicated tunnel system in Gaza, the Israelis will pay a heavy price for it. It is reported that Hamas has built more than 1,000 criss-crossing and interconnected tunnels in Gaza. These tunnels have been built since 2006, and the deepest depth can reach 70 meters underground, which is enough to resist the strongest ground-penetrating missile of the US military.

According to relevant information, at present, the Israeli army’s attack is very cautious. In about one day, the northern front has only advanced less than 2 kilometers. Information shows that there are about 30,000 people in Hamas, with their tunnels, drones and rocket launchers. If the Israelis want to attack and fight street battles, they will have to pay at least 20,000 casualties. In the face of such a cruel ground attack, as some analysts have said, all Palestinians will become "Hamas", and the pressure on Israel will be even greater.

This is also an important reason why Israel quickly ordered the recruitment of more than 300,000 reservists after the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. However, the combat quality of these reservists is not as good as the standing forces, and they must be trained for a long time to deal with ground warfare.

It is even more difficult to "completely destroy" Hamas. In fact, Israeli military action can’t get rid of the foundation of Hamas. The fundamental reason why Hamas has been able to grow and develop in the confrontation with Israel in the past few years is that Israel’s continuous encroachment on Palestinian territory and the historical injustice suffered by the Palestinian people have not been corrected, especially the blockade of the Gaza Strip, which makes it known as the largest "prison" in the world and undoubtedly the largest slum, and it is easy to breed extreme ideas. Therefore, if Israel does not change its own practices, it will not be able to eradicate the soil that produced the Hamas, and this is also the key point that Hamas will not be "wiped out".

At the same time, a large-scale ground attack will also cause a large number of civilian casualties and damage to Gaza’s infrastructure, and the pressure of the international community for a ceasefire will also increase day by day.

Now more and more people are beginning to worry that the war may eventually turn into a regional conflict.

Israel’s Ha ‘aretz reported on the 28th that the second aircraft carrier battle group deployed by the United States in the Mediterranean, the USS Eisenhower, has been put in place. Iranian Foreign Minister Hussein Milla Abdurashian threatened that "if the United States continues to take existing measures, a new front will be opened against the United States." It is reported that some militia groups have launched at least 19 drone or missile attacks on American bases in Syria and Iraq.

At the same time, the situation in northern Israel is escalating. On 28 October, the Israel Defense Forces attacked several Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon. Small-scale clashes on the Lebanese border have been going on for several weeks, and there are fears that Hizbullah may open a second front in the north as the IDF continues to fight Hamas in southern Gaza.

With the advance of the war, there is no doubt that the war will spread to the West Bank, Lebanon, Syria, Iran, the whole Middle East and even Europe … From the current situation, Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and other countries are unlikely to participate in the war, so it is unlikely to evolve into the sixth Middle East war, but the scale of the war will not be small. Moreover, the current tragic situation in the Gaza Strip is bound to greatly stimulate the countries in the Middle East, leading to Israel and Egypt, Jordan and Turkey.

The United States, as Israel’s biggest "backer", is also stretched and in a dilemma. Previously, it was unable to support Ukraine, and now adding Israel has added fuel to the fire. Moreover, the domestic political pressure in the United States is not small. For the United States, Netanyahu is "binding" the United States, but this is not a good thing for Biden. It can even be said that if Israel really does something against humanity in Gaza, the resentment of other countries will not only be directed at Israel, but the United States, as a supporter, will certainly be tested, and the goodwill of American voters towards Biden will also be reduced. This makes Netanyahu’s "good brother" Trump take advantage of the fisherman.

In fact, the United States is caught in the "Israel trap", which not only needs all its support, but also may bring great side effects: because of its unconditional support for Israel, the United States has filled up hatred in the Middle East, triggering a new round of large-scale anti-American sentiment, affecting the geopolitical layout and influence of the United States in the Middle East, and may even lead to fire. After all, the lessons of the "911" incident are vivid. One of the reasons why Al Qaeda attacked the United States in those years was because of the consistent support of the United States to Israel.　 　 　　

The game and consideration of international politics have naturally been repeatedly considered and compromised by many politicians, and only civilians have lost their voices in the gunfire. Nowadays, civilians in the Gaza (including the West Bank) are suffering from unprecedented humanitarian disasters, but the US government, as a "beacon", has turned a deaf ear.

Source | Yangcheng Evening News Yangcheng School
Writing | Lengshuang
Photo | Xinhua News Agency, foreign media
Editor | Lin Li ‘ai