Adhere to the bottom line thinking, prevent and resolve risks

　　Adhering to the bottom line thinking is a scientific method for us to deal with the complicated situation, and it is also the governance wisdom to effectively prevent and resolve major risks. Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, faced with the complicated international situation, complex and sensitive surrounding environment and arduous and arduous tasks of reform, development and stability, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader emphasized that "we should be good at using ‘ Bottom line thinking ’ Methods, everything is prepared from the disadvantages, and strive for the best results, so as to be prepared, not panic when things happen, and firmly grasp the initiative ",and make a systematic and in-depth explanation on the connotation of bottom line thinking and the practical requirements of adhering to bottom line thinking. To forge ahead in a new era, start a new journey, and coordinate development and safety, we must comprehensively and accurately implement the important exposition and work requirements of the Supreme Leader General Secretary on adhering to the bottom line thinking, prevent and resolve risks with the bottom line thinking, and do a good job in reform, development and stability.

　　Scientific thinking method of grasping the initiative

　　Adhering to the bottom line thinking is an important thinking method, working method and major principle of our party in governing the country. Bottom line thinking is by no means a passive thinking that advocates negative discouragement, hands tied, timidity and inaction, but a positive thinking that emphasizes maintaining strategic strength, coping with complicated situations, correctly handling the relationship between reform, development and stability, adhering to the dialectical unity of "keeping the low line" and "promising" (chasing the high line), and "keeping the low and getting the high". The so-called bottom line thinking ability is the ability to objectively set the lowest goal, base on the lowest point and strive for the maximum expectation. Adhere to the bottom line thinking, to achieve "safety without forgetting danger, survival without forgetting death, and governance without forgetting chaos", prepare for everything from the bad, strive for the best result, be prepared, not panic when things happen, and firmly grasp the initiative.

　　Bottom line thinking includes the following indispensable consciousness. First, the consciousness of "dividing into two" to look at the problem, or the consciousness of "two-point theory", is to look at the situation of the problem, never be blindly optimistic, and always keep a clear head, seeing both the favorable side and the unfavorable side. Second, the sense of hardship, also known as the sense of risk, is the sense of worrying about the party, the country and the people, which is a major issue concerning the future and destiny of the party, the country and the people. The third is the awareness of keeping the bottom line, or the awareness of strategic determination, that is, no matter how the situation develops and changes, we will always maintain the strategic determination of "flying in chaos is still calm" and always ensure that "there is no chaos in the face of major events, and we will not lose our usual habits when we are in danger", ensuring that we will not touch the red line, cross the bottom line or break the rules, and ensure that there will be no subversive mistakes on fundamental issues. The fourth is forward-looking consciousness, that is, facing the future, focusing on the long-term, being calm when things happen, objectively and calmly analyzing new situations and new problems, thinking through all possible situations as far as possible in view of all possible potential risks, and making all measures thorough and perfect to ensure that they are prepared and nip in the bud. Fifth, the enterprising consciousness, or the consciousness of overcoming difficulties, is not afraid of risks, dare to take responsibility and struggle, and dare to prevent, manage, deal with, deal with and resolve risks and challenges from all sides in order to win the initiative and strive for the best results.

　　The urgent need to meet major challenges

　　Today, the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation has entered an irreversible historical process. The reason why China is unprecedentedly close to the center of the world stage, the goal of realizing the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, and the unprecedented ability and confidence to achieve this goal are inseparable from the bottom line thinking of "preparing for danger in times of peace".

　　He who travels a hundred miles is half ninety. The great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation can never be achieved easily by beating gongs and drums. "Not sleepy lies in early consideration, not poor lies in early preparation." General Secretary of the Supreme Leader pointed out, "The more our cause advances and develops, the more new situations and problems will arise, the more risks and challenges we will face, and the more unpredictable things we will face.". At present, with the changes of major social contradictions and the profound adjustment of international power, the internal and external risks facing China’s development have risen unprecedentedly. Therefore, adhering to the bottom line thinking and fully seeing the difficulties, problems and unfavorable factors in development are the reasons for us to face profound changes in the domestic and international environment, not to panic when things happen, to be prepared, to play a good first move, to seize the initiative, to successfully cope with major challenges, to resist major risks, to overcome major obstacles, to solve major contradictions, to cultivate new machines in the crisis, to open a new game in the changing situation, and to truly do our best and do what we can. We must deeply understand the new features and requirements brought about by the development and change of major social contradictions in China, the new contradictions and challenges brought about by the complicated international environment, enhance our awareness of opportunities and risks, accurately recognize changes, respond scientifically, take the initiative to seek changes, be brave in sailing against the wind, be good at turning crises into opportunities, and strive to achieve higher quality, more efficient, fairer, more sustainable and safer development.

　　Adhere to the practical requirements of bottom line thinking

　　Adhering to the bottom line thinking in practice requires us to exert our subjective initiative, enhance our foresight, constantly improve our ability to solve contradictions and problems, and actively respond to various risk challenges.

　　Strengthen the identification and prevention of major risks. "A few disasters started, when Du Qimeng; The disease card is square, and it is the root. " It is necessary to strengthen risk awareness, always observe the general trend and always think about the overall situation, scientifically foresee the development trend of the situation and hide the risk challenges, and comprehensively sort out and investigate the risk points in various fields and links, so as to plan ahead. Before doing every job, we must first find out where the bottom line is, where the risks are, what can and can’t be done, what is the worst case and what is the best result. Leading cadres should have the ability to know the deer’s crossing when the grass shakes its leaves, the tiger’s coming together when the wind blows, and the subtle knowledge of the world’s autumn when the leaves change color. They should have a scientific prediction of potential risks and know where the risks are, what their manifestations are and what their development trends will be. We should grasp the law based on the great changes in the international order, grasp the essence through complex phenomena, grasp the key points, identify the causes, establish a normalized working mechanism, constantly find problems, study and solve them in time, and actively and properly deal with them. It is necessary to plan and deal with risks based on the background of China’s important strategic opportunity period for development, and improve the ability to resolve risks. It is necessary to tighten the responsibility, "whoever holds the child", integrate the strength of all parties, scientifically arrange troops, fight a prepared battle to prevent and resist risks, and fight a strategic initiative to turn danger into opportunity. It should be pointed out that although all kinds of risks should be prevented and controlled, we should focus on the key points and grasp the outline. In the economic field, we should focus on accelerating the construction of a new development pattern, preventing macroeconomic ups and downs, and grasping the rhythm and intensity.Balance the relationship between steady growth and risk prevention, prevent the disorderly expansion and barbaric growth of capital, prevent the large inflow and outflow of foreign capital in the capital market, ensure the supply security of grain, energy and important resources, and ensure the stability and security of the industrial chain supply chain. In the social field, it is necessary to prevent the risk of large-scale unemployment, strengthen public health safety, and effectively resolve all kinds of mass incidents. In addition, it is necessary to strengthen the institutional construction of safeguarding national security and effectively deal with various issues involving national security.

　　Take the initiative and stick to the bottom line. We should fully estimate the difficulties and challenges, make careful plans to deal with various complicated situations and unexpected situations, do everything possible to "support", "defend" and "protect", especially take the initiative, firmly hold the two bottom lines of ensuring national food security and not returning to poverty on a large scale, and promote sustained and healthy economic and social development. It is necessary to strengthen warning education, so that party member and cadres can be alert, know the bottom line and be awed, take the initiative to draw a red line in their thoughts and define the boundaries in their actions, and truly respect the law and discipline and obey the rules. Those who violate the rules and regulations, violate laws and regulations, step on the red line, cross the bottom line and break into minefields must be resolutely and seriously investigated, and the "broken window effect" should be resolutely prevented.

　　Adhere to the general tone of steady progress. The general tone of the work of striving for progress while maintaining stability is an important principle of governing the country and the methodology of doing a good job in economic work. In practical work, we should strengthen the bottom line thinking, persist in striving for progress while maintaining stability, and grasp the relationship between "stability" and "progress". On the one hand, the stability should be stabilized, the basic economic disk should be stabilized, and the bottom line of people’s livelihood should be grasped; On the other hand, we should make progress in key areas on the premise of stability, work hard on the premise of grasping the degree and firmly grasp the initiative of development. We must adhere to the general tone of striving for progress through stability, implement the new development concept completely, accurately and comprehensively, accelerate the construction of a new development pattern, comprehensively deepen reform and opening up, promote high-quality development, make overall plans for development and security, focus on stabilizing the macro-economic market, keep the economy running in a reasonable range, and maintain overall social stability.

　　Continue to develop the spirit of struggle. History and practice have repeatedly proved that the revival of a nation can never be easy and smooth, and it is bound to go through some hard trials and struggles. The General Secretary of the Supreme Leader pointed out: "The whole party must enhance its sense of hardship, adhere to the bottom line thinking, strengthen its will to fight, enhance its fighting skills, adapt to the situation with correct strategic strategies, cultivate new machines and open up new opportunities, and rely on tenacious struggle to open up a new world of career development. The most fundamental thing is to do our own thing well." At present, the great changes in the world that have not happened in a hundred years have accelerated their evolution, and the characteristics of changes in the world, times and history are more obvious. China’s development faces new strategic opportunities, new strategic tasks, new strategic stages, new strategic requirements and new strategic environment, and the risks and challenges to be dealt with, contradictions and problems to be solved are more complicated than before. We must adhere to the bottom line thinking, enhance our sense of hardship, grasp the historical characteristics of the new great struggle, carry forward the spirit of struggle, effectively respond to major challenges, resist major risks, overcome major obstacles, resolve major contradictions, overcome all difficulties and obstacles on the road ahead, and constantly win new victories in the great struggle in the new era.

　　(This article Source: Economic Daily Author: China Academy of Social Sciences Supreme Leader New Era Socialism with Chinese characteristics Thought Research Center researcher Liu Zhiming)