Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs： The price of pigs is under great pressure, and the price of apples will fall at a high level in autumn.

　　On July 17, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a press conference to inform the operation situation of key agricultural products markets in the first half of this year. China Net Guo Tianhu photo

　　China Network July 18 (Reporter Peng Yao Intern reporter Wang Zhiya) The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a press conference on the market operation situation of key agricultural products in the first half of this year on the 17th. Keke, director of the Market and Economic Information Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, pointed out that since the beginning of this year, the production and supply of agricultural products in China have been generally guaranteed, and the market operation has remained basically stable. The supply of bulk agricultural products such as grain, cotton, oil and sugar is sufficient, and the overall price has not changed much; "Vegetable basket" products are affected by unfavorable factors such as early climate and epidemic disease, and the price has increased, but it still conforms to the seasonal fluctuation law.

　　Pig prices continue to rise, and the pressure is greater. Apple prices will fall back at a high level in autumn.

　　Keke said that the rapid increase in pig prices was mainly affected by the African swine fever epidemic. Last October, the basic production capacity of live pigs declined, which led to the problem of reduced supply of live pigs this year and the price continued to rise. It is expected that in the second half of the year, the relationship between supply and demand of pork will further tighten, and the price of pigs will continue to rise. However, due to the increase in the output of poultry, eggs, milk and other livestock and poultry products, the adjustment of consumption structure will be accelerated, and the number of imported pork and its products will also increase, the meat market supply will be generally guaranteed.

　　In June, the average price of Fuji apples, pears, watermelons, bananas, pineapples and Kyoho grapes was 8.39 yuan per kilogram, up 11.1% from the previous month, and the growth rate narrowed by 8 percentage points, which was still 51.7% higher than the same period last year. Fruit prices continue to run at a high level, which has obvious stage and seasonal characteristics. The large reduction in production is mainly due to the cold weather in late spring last year, and the reduction in production of some tropical fruits in the south this spring, which leads to a tight supply in the fruit market in the short term.

　　Recently, with a large number of seasonal fruits such as watermelons and melons on the market, the total supply of fruits in the market is sufficient, the varieties are diverse, and the price increase slows down, which is expected to enter a seasonal downward trend in the later period. This year, the production in the main apple producing areas is generally good, and it is expected that the price will fall at a high level after a large number of apples are listed in autumn.

　　It is unlikely that the prices of wheat and corn will rise sharply.

　　According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, this year’s wheat harvest, the quantity of high-quality commercial wheat is sufficient, and market competition leads to lower prices. The minimum purchase price of wheat is lowered by 3 cents per catty compared with last year, which drives the bottom of the market price down. According to the statistics of the State Grain and Material Reserve Bureau, as of June 30th, the wheat in the main producing areas had bought a total of 26.09 million tons, an increase of 4.79 million tons year-on-year.

　　Keke pointed out that in order to prevent the price of wheat from falling excessively and protect the interests of grain farmers, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has successively launched the implementation plan of minimum purchase price in Anhui, Jiangsu, Henan and Hubei provinces. With the guiding effect of policy acquisition on the market gradually appearing, the summer harvest wheat market will tend to be active, but it is unlikely that the market price will rise sharply. It is suggested that farmers should seize the opportunity to sell grain to achieve high yield and bumper harvest.

　　In addition, since April, with the decrease of grain sources in the market, corn prices have stopped falling and stabilized; In the middle and late May, due to the new round of tariff increase between China and the United States and the influence of meadow moth pests, the expectation of bullish market increased and prices accelerated; In June, the average monthly wholesale price in producing areas was 0.96 yuan per catty, up 2% from the beginning of the year and 7.4% year-on-year. Keke pointed out that at present, the temporary storage of corn stocks is still relatively sufficient, and the feed demand of corn is stable but weak due to the African swine fever epidemic. It is estimated that the supply and demand of corn market are generally balanced, and it is unlikely that the price will continue to rise sharply.